Experts and Uncertainty: Reliable Evidence for Important Decisions?

Thursday, 3rd May 2018, 10:00 am - 12:00 pm

Registration from 9:30 am
Registration for this event is closed

This event will present and discuss how to use expert judgement effectively.  Expert judgement input into policy and decision making processes to guide evidence-based decisions is often incomplete, insufficient, or non-existent.  Just as there are techniques promoting the collection of high-quality observational data, there are principles and practices designed to ensure the quality of expert judgement inputs as well.  Structured expert judgement has been used in over 100 applications by a range of entities including the World Health Organization, the Gates Foundation, NASA, and more.

In this 2-hour event we will discuss what we have learned about collecting and using expert judgement in a variety of fields including health, ecology and risk assessment.

Registration and refreshments will be available from 9.30am.  Lunch will be provided following the event.

Who should attend?

This event is aimed at any policy or decision maker in the public or private sector who must make decisions under uncertainty, and relies on some form of expert judgement to supplement incomplete evidence.

Benefits of attending

  • Learn about tools that can be used to understand uncertainty.
  • Hear our lessons learned from using expert judgement.
  • Take part in discussions about the benefits and challenges you face when using expert judgement in your field.



Abigail Colson
phone +44 (0)141 5482662
Research Associate
Tim Bedford
phone +44 (0)141 5485982
Professor of Risk & Decision Analysis

Registration for this event is closed

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